Friday, November 30, 2012

Bama v. UGA, 2012

"Advantage: Alabama. Everything the Tide does on offense revolves around
its running game, and Georgia is 11th in the SEC against the run".
http://www.kfvs12.com/story/20198096/sec-championship-position-analysis-
favors-tide


UGA gives up an average of 192 y/g rushing - if that means Bama can run well, this game won't be close.

Bama D line - can they beat up an underdog Dawgs O line, and keep Gurley and Marshall to a reasonable number of yards?

Bama secondary - can they get the help they need from the front seven's pressure on Murray to slow down the dog pass attack?

AJ - will he throw like he threw in the LSU and A&M games? Or will he hit 67% as he has for most of the season?

Can the Tide's much heralded O line slow down the dawg pass rush?

However, all of the above will matter little if Lacy and Yeldon are off and running, in which case, it's going to be a long day for UGA.

I hope to never become so deluded that I think I can guess what will happen in a football game, but I don't feel that worried about the Dawgs going into this one.

State of Analysis

.35 Whelen: overlooked, misunderstood, vastly underrated

Magic calibers, field results, logic.  Can we have that and still enjoy shooting and goofy new cartridges?  Shooting in ballistics is easily reducible to mathematical precision, but field results are not.  That's why there are so many myths and legends about magic cartridges - and we believe them, relish them even. 

I like mulling over cartridges and playing around with ideas like smaller cartridges and rifles that generate more terminal impact, or huge powerful cartridges that provide killing authority for big animals a long ways away.  But the reality is, I bought a M700 Classic in 270 Winchester in 1980, and none of the fancy, pricey rifles I've bought since are significantly more capable than is that one.  In fact, with the new Barnes 110 TTSX loads, I can launch a bullet from that rifle at 3400 fps, nearly matching either 257 Weatherby or 270 WSM killing power and trajectory.  In other words, fooling around with cartridges and terminal ballistics is not a practical man's work.